MR4324 Advanced Numerical Weather Prediction

Operational weather prediction is evolving from a deterministic forecasting focus, based on single-solution numerical weather prediction (NWP) output, to a focus on ensemble-based forecasting. This course introduces the fundamentals of chaos theory (as the scientific basis for ensemble forecasting), describes the behavior of an ideal vs. a practical ensemble, and covers details of the various components of an ensemble prediction system (EPS). The course goal is to develop weather officers knowledgeable in EPS capabilities, strengths, weaknesses, etc., so that the DOD can effectively incorporate the technology into its weather support process.

Prerequisite

MR4323 or similar undergraduate course in numerical weather prediction

Lecture Hours

2

Lab Hours

2